GEO 580 - The Anatomy of a GIS Model

GIS is only as good as its data

GIS is only as good the expression of its data

we will compare several GIS models to illustrate different modeling approaches

we will compare varying levels of results from these models

Its All Downhill from Here

the case for landslide susceptibility

SL - terrain steepness (high slope/low slope)

SO - soil type (unstable/stable)

CO - vegetation cover (bare/abundant)

BINARY model: codes cells 1 for susceptible, 0 for unsusceptible
multiplicative: cells must meet all 3 criteria



BINARY model: multiplies maps for Y/N solution
RANKING model: adds maps for a range of solutions


RATING model: averages maps for an even greater range of solutions
scale of 1 to 9 (most) for each condition


RATING model: for example one cell might be 9 in SL layer, 3 in SO, 3 in CO
(9 + 3 + 3) / 3 = 5 or moderate susc.


Weighted Rating Model

suppose SL is considered to be 5 times more important than SO or CO?

so one cell might be:
-- 9 * 5 in SL layer, 3 in SO, 3 in CO((9*5)+ 3 + 3) / 3 = 17

-- fairly high susceptibility

Models for Landslide Susceptibility:
Banana Bread to Fruit Cake!

BINARY
RANKING

RATING

WEIGHTED RATING

Banana Bread to Fruitcake

data input to the models - constant

type of models (cartographic) - constant

logic of models or conceptual fabric of process - different

rating models most robust

-- continuum of responses/answers

-- most mathematical/mapematical??

-- foothold to extend model even further from critical to contributing factors

Extension of Landslide Model to Risk:
Consider proximity to features that we may really care about, such as roads



Create Road buffer by spreading road cells to 30 for R_PROX, renumber cells in R_PROX 1 and 0 to form R_BUF, multiply R_BUF by L_HAZ to get L_RISK


Further Extension:
variable width buffers as a function of SLOPE
buffer widens in steep areas


Renumber Slopes to get Friction map
Friction map guides varible width proximity and binary variable width buffer
R_WBUFF * L_HAZ = L_WRISK



Extending a GIS Model

in addition to or instead of SL, SO, CO other critical factors may be considered:
-- physical: bedrock type, depth to faulting

-- disturbance: construction areas, gophers?

-- environmental: storm frequency, rainfall patterns

-- seasonal: freezing and thawing cycles in spring

-- historical: past earthquake events

Extending a GIS Model cont.

can extend hazard to risk:
-- weighted roads based on slopes

-- weight roads based on traffic volume, emergency routes, etc.

-- buildings: commercial, residential, etc.

-- economic value of threatened features, potential resource loss

Extension of Cartographic Model to Spatial Model

Rating models considered mathematical?
-- how were weighting factors decided?
-- guess-timates?
-- derived from predictive statistical technique? (need right set of maps/data over a large area for this)
-- based on an experiment in the field? (need lots of time, funding, energy for this)

Another option: review literature for existing mathematical model and use it!

"Mapematical" version of the Revised Universal Soil Loss Equation (RUSLE)
Expected soil loss per acre from 6 factors


RUSLE evaluated in 2 ways:
Aggregated
- executes model for whole region (e.g., entire watershed) & applies it to one parcel
Disaggregated - break region into subregion & executes model on subregions


Disaggregated Approach: Soil loss for each subunit

  • ID subunits with highest soil loss
  • Determine a soil loss tolerance T
  • Reverse calculate: solve again for factors C (veg cover) & P (control practices) given soil loss to create maps of C & P


    Limitations

    science behind RUSLE equation may be too coarse to be applied to subunits

    scale of elevation data may be too small for accurate slope map

    is disaggregated approach still non-spatial?

    -- assume avg. soil loss value is uniformly distributed for each subunit?

    Spatial vs. Non-Spatial


    spatial reasoning elucidates this for us though - we know where to go from here:
    get better data, improve our science, take spatial approach vs. non-spatial


    Joseph Berry, Spatial Reasoning for Effective GIS, Chaps. 24-26

    http://dusk.geo.orst.edu/buffgis/buff08.html

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